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Carnegie Mellon University
Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy & Technology

CMU's Home for Political Science and International Relations

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Researchers at Carnegie Mellon's Institute for Strategy and Technology are involved in cutting-edge, rigorous research about the relationship between power and governance, on the one hand, and political and technological innovation on the other. Their speaking, writing, teaching, and publications address the full range of crucial issues facing humankind in the twenty-first century.

Research Highlights

Hannah Bailey, Assistant Professor

Prof. Bailey's research explores emerging technologies as both methodological tools and subjects of study, with a particular focus on their impact on the political sphere. In particular, she focuses on adapting and developing natural language processing, machine learning, and computer vision techniques to analyze how authoritarian states leverage these tools to advance political agendas. Her current research topics include:

  • Global AI governance

  • Authoritarian influence campaigns

  • Computational social science methods applied to political communication phenomena

Nadiya Kostyuk, Assistant Professor 

Prof. Kostyuk's research interests lie at the intersection of international security and technology, paying particular attention to the role of cyber power in domestic and international politics. Two overarching themes guide her research: 

  • the effects that cyber power has on how states conduct themselves domestically and internationally

  • the causes of a state's decision to develop different manifestations of cyber power

Additional Highlight Videos

Research Concentrations

Audrey Kurth Cronin

Audrey Kurth Cronin, CMIST Director; Trustees Professor of Security and Technology

Prof. Audrey Kurth Cronin is a leading expert on emerging technologies and international security. Her research focuses on how off-the-shelf, commercially available tools—such as robotics, AI, and biotechnology—are transforming the nature of modern conflict. She examines how non-state actors adopt and adapt these technologies in ways that challenge conventional security paradigms. Her work also addresses how terrorist campaigns decline and end, with an emphasis on leadership targeting, public support erosion, and organizational breakdown. Her areas of expertise include:

  • Security, Military, Terrorism 

  • International Affairs

  • Government Relations and Policy

Baruch Fischhoff

Baruch Fischhoff, Howard Heinz University Professor, Department of Engineering and Public Policy

Prof. Fischhoff studies basic topics in judgment and decision making, prompted by engagement with public policy issues.  His current topics include:

  • THE USABILITY OF AI AIDS, TRAUMA TRIAGE, INFECTIOUS (AND PANDEMIC) DISEASE, AND MEDICAL INFORMED CONSENT

  • CLIMATE CHANGE, ELECTRIC VEHICLES, AND GLACIER PRESERVATION

Mark Kamlet

Mark Kamlet, University Professor of Economics and Public Policy; Chair of the Graduate Committee; Provost Emeritus

Prof. Kamlet’s research spans economics, statistics and public policy, and includes the impact of technological innovation on society, political polarization, cost-utility analysis, and U.S. budgetary and fiscal policy outcomes. His areas of study include:

  • How to reduce the social costs and increase the benefits of technological innovation

  • Polarization among U.S. political parties, media and elites

  • Cost-effectiveness and resource allocation in healthcare

Ignacio Arana


Ignacio Arana, Assistant Professor

Prof. Arana specializes in elite behavior by analyzing how the personality traits and other individual differences of heads of government impact executive governance. Second, he studies the consequences of variation in political institutions across countries, with an emphasis on Latin America. He also examines executive-legislative relations, informal institutions, gender and politics, and judicial politics. His research interests include:

  • Heads of Government

  • Political Psychology

  • Comparative Political Institutions

  • Latin America

Prof. Hannah Bailey

Hannah Bailey, Assistant Professor

Prof. Bailey's research explores emerging technologies as both methodological tools and subjects of study, with a particular focus on their impact on the political sphere. In particular, she focuses on adapting and developing natural language processing, machine learning, and computer vision techniques to analyze how authoritarian states leverage these tools to advance political agendas. This work seeks to generate methods applicable to diverse political communication phenomena while simultaneously shedding light on the opaque political agendas of authoritarian regimes. Her current research topics include:

  • Global AI governance

  • Authoritarian influence campaigns

  • Computational social science methods applied to political communication phenomena

Haleigh Bartos


Haleigh Bartos, Associate Professor of the Practice

Prof. Bartos has substantial experience working in Washington, DC to support policy and at various NGOs. Her current research interests span national security and terrorism, with a particular focus on terrorism in sub-Saharan Africa.

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Justin Canfil, Assistant Professor

Prof. Canfil's research examines the conditions under which emerging technologies become subject to international regulation. He is interested in efforts by arms controllers to engineer against technological creativity. These include attempts to negotiate "anticipatory" and "future-proof" international agreements. Another arm of his research investigates how policymakers (and their lawyers) respond when such efforts fail. He uses a combination of historical, experimental, and computational methods to explain real-world patterns over time. Current interest areas include:
  • International law, arms control, governance of emerging technologies

  • Military use of cyber and artificial intelligence

  • US and Chinese foreign policy

Jonathan Cervas

Jonathan Cervas, Assistant Teaching Professor

Prof. Cervas’ research interests focus on American political institutions and political representation, with particular emphasis on how inequalities in institutions result in disparities among voters. His current areas of interest include:

  • Voting rights, vote dilution, and inequalities in voting

  • Elections, especially election integrity, election law, and election reform

  • Minority representation in electoral systems

  • Gerrymandering and redistricting

John Chin

John Chin, Assistant Teaching Professor

Prof. Chin's research interests are the intersection of international relations and comparative politics, with an emphasis on technologies of rebellion, authoritarian politics, and comparative democratization. His current areas of study include:

  • Coups d'état, self-coups, mass uprisings, and assassinations

  • Forecasting political instability

  • U.S. foreign policy / democracy promotion

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Molly Dunigan, Senior Lecturer

Prof. Dunigan's research focuses on the future of warfare, grand strategy, great power conflict dynamics, military privatization, outsourcing, operational contract support, civil–military relations, counterinsurgency, and maritime security. Her current areas of interest include:

  • Private security contracting

  • Civilian deployment

  • Strategic competition

Nadiya Kostyuk

Nadiya Kostyuk, Assistant Professor 

Prof. Kostyuk's research interests lie at the intersection of international security and technology, paying particular attention to the role of cyber power in domestic and international politics. Two overarching themes guide her research: 

  • the effects that cyber power has on how states conduct themselves domestically and internationally

  • the causes of a state's decision to develop different manifestations of cyber power

Geoffrey McGovern

Geoffrey McGovern, Senior Lecturer

Prof. McGovern's research focuses on matters of civil justice, statutory compliance, alternative dispute resolution, environmental policy, health care law and policy, and defense acquisitions.  His current areas of study include:
  • Asbestos litigation

  • Civil law

  • State judicial resourcing and management

Forrest Morgan

Forrest Morgan, Senior Lecturer

Prof. Morgan’s areas of research focus on air and space power doctrine and strategy and the future of warfare. Specific topics include:

  • Deterrence

  • Escalation management

  • Crisis stability

  • Artificial intelligence

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Joshua Schwartz, Assistant Professor

Prof. Schwartz has several areas of research focus, including the global spread of armed drones, public support for the use of weapons of mass destruction, and the impact that the increase of female political leaders will have on international politics. His research addresses three interrelated questions:
  • What factors impact the spread of military technology around the world?

  • Under what conditions does the general public support the use of force or particular military technologies?

  • When is the use of military force and technology effective on the battlefield?

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Daniel Silverman, Assistant Professor

Prof. Silverman’s research focuses on international security, political psychology, and the politics of the Middle East and the wider Islamic world, with a particular emphasis on the psychological factors – including the biases and misperceptions – that drive conflicts, and how they can be mitigated or leveraged to promote peace. Current topics of interest include:
  • Lies and misinformation in war

  • What shapes public support for violent resistance groups

Recent Publications

Journal of Political Science Education by Joshua Schwartz
Schwartz, Joshua A. “Popcorn and Politics: A Course on American Foreign Policy and Film.” Journal of Political Science Education (2025). 
Conflict Management and Peace Science article by Nadiya Kostyuk
Kostyuk, Nadiya. “Attention Beyond the Battlefield: Voters’ Responses to Foreign Military Investments.” Conflict Management and Peace Science (2025).
Public Opinion Quarterly article by Daniel Silverman and Caitlan Fealing
Silverman, Daniel and Caitlan Feeling. "Framing the Exit: Pollsters, Public Opinion, and the Politics of Military Withdrawal." Public Opinion Quarterly (2025).
International Interactions article by Nadiya Kostyuk
Kostyuk, Nadiya. “Beyond Threats: How Allies and Bureaucratic Competition Shape the Initial Development of Military Cyber Capabilities.” International Interactions (2025).
Journal of Global Security Studies article by Nadiya Kostyuk, Evan Perkoski, and Michael Poznansky
Kostyuk, Nadiya, Evan Perkoski, and Michael Poznansky. "The Bureaucratic Politics of Cyber Strategy." Journal of Global Security Studies 10, no. 3 (2025).
Frontiers in Political Science book review by John Chin
Chin, John J. "Should the US Promote (Illiberal) Democracy in the Middle East?." Review of The Problem of Democracy: America, the Middle East, and the Rise and Fall of an Idea by Shadi Hamid. Frontiers in Political Science 7 (2025).
Journal of Cybersecurity article by Dominika Kuźnicka-Błaszkowska and Nadiya Kostyuk
Kuźnicka-Błaszkowska, Dominika and Nadiya Kostyuk. "Emerging Need to Regulate Deepfakes in International Law: The Russo–Ukrainian War as an Example." Journal of Cybersecurity 11, no. 1 (2025).
Political Science Quarterly book review by Nadiya Kostyuk
Kostyuk, Nadiya. Review of Rethinking Warfare in the 21st Century: The Influence and Effects of the Politics, Information and Communication Mix by Iulian Chifu and Greg Simons. Political Science Quarterly 140, no. 1 (2025).
 Human Factors article by Richard E. Dunning, Baruch Fischhoff, and Alex L. Davis
Dunning, Richard E., Baruch Fischhoff, and Alex L. Davis. "When Do Humans Heed AI Agents’ Advice? When Should They?." Human Factors 66, no. 7 (2024).
Journal of Political Science Education article by Joshua Schwartz
Schwartz, Joshua A. "Dracarys: Unleashing the Lessons of Nuclear Conflict from House of the Dragon." Journal of Political Science Education (2024).
Foreign Affairs article by Audrey Kurth Cronin summer 2024
Cronin, Audrey Kurth. "How Hamas Ends: A Strategy for Letting the Group Defeat Itself." Foreign Affairs Magazine 103, no. 4 (2024).
International Security article by Joshua Schwartz
Schwartz, Joshua A. "When Foreign Countries Push the Button." International Security 48, no. 4 (2024).
Journal of Peace Research article by Michael Horowitz and Joshua Schwartz
Horowitz, Michael C., and Joshua A. Schwartz. "To Compete or Strategically Retreat? The Global Diffusion of Reconnaissance Strike." Journal of Peace Research 62, no. 4 (2024).
Texas National Security Review article by John Chin and Haleigh Bartos
Chin, John J., and Haleigh Bartos. "Rethinking U.S. Africa Policy Amid Changing Geopolitical Realities." Texas National Security Review 7, no. 2 (2024).
Journal of Conflict Resolution article by Joshua Schwartz and Dominic Tierney
Schwartz, Joshua A., and Dominic Tierney. "Us and Them: Foreign Threat and Domestic Polarization." Journal of Conflict Resolution 29, no. 2-3 (2024).
Quarterly Journal of Political Science article by Connor Halloran Phillips, James M. Snyder Jr, and Andrew B. Hall
Phillips, Connor Halloran, James M. Snyder Jr, and Andrew B. Hall. "Who Runs for Congress? A Study of State Legislators and Congressional Polarization." Quarterly Journal of Political Science 19, no. 1 (2024).

Grofman, Bernard, and Jonathan Cervas. "Statistical Fallacies in Claims about ‘Massive and Widespread Fraud’ in the 2020 Presidential Election: Examining Claims Based on Aggregate Election Results." Statistics and Public Policy, 11, no. 1 (2023).

Cronin, Audrey Kurth. "Hamas’s Asymmetric Advantage: What Does It Mean to Defeat a Terrorist Group?" Foreign Affairs Magazine, November 22, 2023.

Chin, John J., Kiron Skinner, and Clay Yoo. "Understanding National Security Strategies Through Time." Texas National Security Review 6, no. 4 (2023).

Cervas, Jonathan, Bernard Grofman, and Scott Matsuda. "The Role Of State Courts In Constraining Partisan Gerrymandering In Congressional Elections." The University of New Hampshire Law Review 21, no. 2 (2023).

Blair, Christopher W., and Joshua A. Schwartz. "The Gendered Peace Premium." International Studies Quarterly 67, no. 4 (2023).

Acosta, Benjamin, Reyko Huang, and Daniel Silverman. “Introducing ROLE: A Database of Rebel Leader Attributes in Armed Conflict.” Journal of Peace Research 60, no. 2 (2023).

Arana Araya, Ignacio. "Dominant Personality and Politically Inexperienced Presidents Challenge Term Limits." Journal of Politics 85, no. 4, (2023).

Cronin, Audrey Kurth. "How Private Tech Companies Are Reshaping Great Power Competition." The Kissinger Papers, (August 2023).

Timoneda, Joan C., Abel Escribà-Folch, and John Chin. “The Rush to Personalize: Power Concentration after Failed Coups in Dictatorships.” British Journal of Political Science 53, no. 3 (2023).

Faculty Bookshelf

Faculty Bookshelf - Bounded Disciplines and Unbounded Problems by Baruch Fischhoff

Fischhoff, Baruch. Bounded Disciplines & Unbounded Problems: A Vision for Management Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2025.

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Silverman, Daniel. Seeing Is Disbelieving: Why People Believe Misinformation in War, and When They Know Better. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2024.

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Covid Crisis Group, Lessons from the COVID War: An Investigative Report.  New York, NY: Public Affairs, 2023. 

(CMIST Prof. Baruch Fischhoff, contributing author)

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Chin, John J.,  Joseph Wright, and David B. Carter. Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups D’état. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2022.

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Cronin, Audrey Kurth. Power to the People: How Open Technological Innovation is Arming Tomorrow's Terrorists. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2020. 

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Dunigan, Molly. Victory for Hire: Private Security Companies' Impact on Military Effectiveness. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2011.

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Fischhoff, Baruch, and John Kadvany. Risk: A Very Short Introduction. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2011.

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Cronin, Audrey Kurth. How Terrorism Ends: Understanding the Decline and Demise of Terrorist Campaigns. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2009.

A Two-state Solution in the Middle East--Prospects and Possibilities: An International Conference. Carnegie Mellon University Press, 1993.

Fischhoff, Baruch, Kenneth Kotovsky, Hussain Tuma, and Jacobo Bielak, eds. A Two-State Solution in the Middle East--Prospects and Possibilities: An International Conference. Pittsburgh: Carnegie Mellon University Press, 1993.

 

  

 

The views and opinions expressed in CMIST publications are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily reflect any official position of CMIST or Carnegie Mellon University.