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Forrest Morgan

Forrest Morgan

Senior Lecturer, Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy & Technology

  • Posner Hall 382A
  • 412-268-1681


Forrest E. Morgan has been a lecturer at the Carnegie Mellon University since 2017. In 2019 he retired from the RAND Corporation, where he had been a senior political scientist since 2003. At RAND he did strategy and doctrine research for the Air Force, Army, and other national defense clients and held a faculty appointment to the Pardee RAND Graduate School. Morgan’s work focused on deterrence, escalation management, crisis stability, military applications of artificial intelligence, and space operations, policy, and strategy.

Morgan joined RAND after retiring from a twenty-seven-year career in the US Air Force. His service there included duty as a signals intelligence analyst and as a space operations officer in various operations and staff positions. Toward the end of his Air Force career he served on the strategy and policy staff at Headquarters, US Air Force, Pentagon, and as professor of comparative military studies at the Air University School of Advanced Air and Space Studies (SAASS).


Morgan received his PhD in policy studies from the University of Maryland.


Morgan, Forrest. and Raphael S. Cohen, Military Trends and the Future of Warfare: The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, 2020.

Morgan, Forrest, Benjamin Boudreaux, Andrew J. Lohn, Mark Ashby, Christian Curriden, Kelly Klima, and Derek Grossman, Military Applications of Artificial Intelligence: Ethical Concerns in an Uncertain World, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, 2020. 

Cohen, Raphael S, Nathan Chandler, Shira Efron, Bryan Frederick, Eugeniu Han, Kurt Klein, Forrest Morgan, Ashley L Rhoades, Howard J. Shatz, and Yuliya Shok, The Future of Warfare in 2030: Project Overview and Conclusions, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, 2020. 

Spirtas, Michael, Yool Kim, Frank Camm, Shirley M. Ross, Debra Knopman, Forrest Morgan, Sebastian Joon Bae, M. Scott Bond, John S Crown, Elaine Simmons, A Separate Space: Creating a Military Service for Space, Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, 2020.

Heginbotham, Eric, Samuel Berkowitz, Forrest Morgan, Michael Chase, Jacob Heim, Bobby Lin, Mark Cozad, Lyle Morris, Christopher Twomey, Michael Nixon, and Cristina Garafola. Domestic Factors Could Accelerate the Evolution of China's Nuclear Posture. RAND Corporation (RR 9956AF), 2017.

Heginbotham, Eric, Samuel Berkowitz, Forrest Morgan, Michael Chase, Jacob Heim, Bobby Lin, Mark Cozad, Lyle Morris, Christopher Twomey, Michael Nixon, and Cristina Garafola. China's Evolving Nuclear Deterrent. RAND Corporation (RR 1628AF), 2017.

Dobbins, James, Nathan Chandler, Forrest Morgan, Raphael Cohen, Bryan Frederick, Edward Geist, Paul DeLuca, Howard Shatz, and Brent Williams. Extending Russia: Competing from Advantageous Ground. RAND Corporation (RR 3063A), 2019.

Morgan, Forrest, Myron Hura, Gary McLeod, Michael Nixon, and Christopher Lynch. Gaming Space: A Game-Theoretic Methodology for Assessing the Deterrent Value of Space Control Options. RAND Corporation (RR-694), 2018.

Morgan, Forrest. Crisis Stability and Long-Range Strike: A Comparative Analysis of Fighters, Bombers, and Missiles. RAND Corporation (MG-1258), 2013.

Morgan, Forrest. “Dancing with the Bear: Managing Escalation in a Conflict with Russia.” Proliferation Papers, French Institute for International Relations (Winter) 2012.

Morgan, Forrest. Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space: A Preliminary Assessment. RAND Corporation (MG-916), 2010.