The Future of Work Initiative
Machine Learning. Artificial Intelligence. Autonomous Vehicles.
University laboratories and corporate R&D centers are investing heavily in these disruptive technologies. The next generation of machines have the potential to transform our society, redefining the way human beings work, play, earn a living, and interact with the larger economy.
The Block Center's Future of Work Initiative at Carnegie Mellon University’s Heinz College is dedicated to rigorous scientific investigation of the impact of emerging technologies on workers at all skill levels, as well as the communities they inhabit.
The Future of Work Initiative charts the impact of disruptive innovation on the U.S. labor market, develops policy interventions that ensure the benefits of innovation are more widely shared, and leverages advanced technologies to address the social and economic needs of those being left behind as a result of technological change.
How AI Changes Work and What We Should Do About It
- Prof. Tom Mitchell
Can AI Make Education Great Again?
- Prof. Lee Branstetter
Using Patent DATA to Forecast Disruption
While advancements in artificial intelligence and robotics have the potential to spur growth and create new job categories that don’t even exist yet, the resulting automation of job tasks will likely have dramatic impacts on the current labor market—the real questions are where and to what extent those impacts will be felt. By applying machine learning to patent filing data, Professor Branstetter and the Future of Work Initiative are working with other CMU experts to map what jobs and industries are likely to see the most intense applications of artificial intelligence—and where policymakers need to focus their attention. [Read the full story.]
So far, the team has issued a report detailing which firms have filed for the most AI-related patents in the U.S., which patent subcategories have seen the most activity, and where geographically those patents are originating. Click here to view the report.
Ridesharing CONNECTS PEOPLE WITH OPPORTUNITY
Citizens with lower levels of education and skill often confront challenges when seeking employment. The jobs best suited for their skills may be geographically distant from their homes, and the existing public transportation system may not provide them with an easy way of commuting to those jobs. Effective cooperation between governments, regulatory authorities, and transportation networking companies could remove those barriers and make ridesharing systems available to disadvantaged citizens.
To assess citizen response to a public ridesharing policy, the Future of Work Initiative is currently running field experiments in Pittsburgh and adjacent areas of Allegheny County.
Cognitive Tutors Make Gains in Education
Students learn in different ways and at different rates. Intelligent cognitive software “tutors,” which have been developed and successfully tested for Algebra I, can analyze student errors, learn what the student does not understand, and provide individualized practice problems and instruction to remedy that lack of understanding. If intelligent tutors could achieve that same effectiveness documented in Algebra I across other subjects, it could revolutionize the American workforce.
Bringing together technology experts in the education domain, quantitative social scientists, and behavioral economists, this project seeks to develop strategies to incentivize Pennsylvania school districts to experiment with and adopt these potentially game-changing technologies.
AI Jobs in the Rural Economy
Although recent achievements in artificial intelligence have transformed the future of work, these developments disproportionately favor urban residents. This widening divide between urban and rural AI engagement has the capacity to negatively impact rural populations both economically and politically. Through the development of a groundbreaking freelance platform, Block Center Director Rahul Telang aims to close the rural/urban divide by teaching low skill rural workers to perform image tagging and other AI training tasks.
In addition to advancing the quality of AI and helping rural populations develop higher level technological skills, this highly translational system has the potential to benefit lower skilled workers outside of rural environments.
the economic consequences of ai and robotics
While much of the discourse surrounding machine learning and automation pertains to disrupting employment, these advancements also have the capacity to reskill and re-employ displaced employees. To this end, Professor Tom Mitchell aims to dispel common misconceptions about the future of work by recharacterizing the nature of work itself as a bundle of tasks. By reframing work in this way, employers and policymakers can more holistically approach the impact of automation on job design, compensation and organization.
This project has resulted in a report for the National Academy of Science, as well as a paper on the Economic Consequences of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics.
leveraging collective intelligence
Collective intelligence, or the shared intelligence of a team or group, is a key area of research in understanding and optimizing the increasingly collaborative nature of the workplace. Through her work in the study of collective intelligence, Professor Anita Wooley has determined that collective intelligence relies less on the strengths of individual group members and more on the overall dynamics of the team, such as gender parity and shared communication skills. By leveraging these breakthroughs in collective intelligence, companies, governments and other organizations could coordinate, collaborate and communicate at the highest level possible.
By quantifying some of the more qualitative aspects of group dynamics, this project seeks to provide a reliable framework for enhancing the performance of collaborative work environments.
Diversity and Inclusion in Open-Source Software Development
The gender gap in technology is widening. In 1985, 37% of computer science Bachelor's degree recipients were women. However, by 2017, this percentage dropped to just 19%. Although women make up about 57% of the U.S. workforce, they only hold about 26% of professional computing occupations. In particular, only 6% of the computing workforce is comprised of Asian women, while African American women and Hispanic women only make up 3% and 2% of this workforce, respectively.
As many fields become increasingly digitized, the open-source software development ecosystem has become an important means of demonstrating technical competence while pursuing career opportunities. However, women's participation in this ecosystem is relatively low. To this end, Professors Laura Dabbish and Jim Herbsleb aim to develop novel socio-technical interventions to support women's participation in open-source endeavors to close both the gender and skill gaps in the computing industry.
Job creation in the autonomous trucking industry
Autonomous vehicles are poised to significantly disrupt the professional driving industry, particularly in the long-haul trucking sector. While this automation is likely to focus more on specific tasks in the freight transport process, rather than on the complete automation of entire jobs, there is still much to discover in the areas of which tasks are most technologically feasible to automate, which new tasks might be created as a result of automation, and which technologies will most safely and reliably support this automation.
Through collaboration with economists and industry professionals, Professors Parth Vaishnav, Alex Davis and Venkat Viswanathan intend to characterize the future of trucking. In particular, this team is investigating how these changes will provide human operators with new tasks and, by extension, create new jobs while reducing the labor costs and environmental footprint associated with freight transport.
Gigs, risks and skills in the Digital Economy
The gig economy, has become a major aspect of the labor landscape and has disrupted numerous markets, from transportation to healthcare to meal delivery. While the income derived from emergent online labor markets often varies significantly, decreased job security and higher unemployment rates have nonetheless drawn workers to gig platforms.
Professor Erina Ytsma, in collaboration with Professor Geoffrey Parker of Dartmouth University, is examining the ways in which temporary work markets, such as gig platforms, could be leveraged to provide skills training for blue-collar workers. This research aims to inform the kinds of policies and institutions that can support income risk mitigation for employees, as well as assess the effect of numerous factors, such as training, pay level, income uncertainty and job risk, on employee productivity, career paths and well-being.
Better Videos for Better Education
While video content has been a central component of both online and in-class learning for decades, few existing studies have characterized what exactly makes instructional videos an effective pedagogical tool or how to finetune this content to better address discrepancies in student backgrounds and learning styles.
Professors Pedro Ferreira and Michael D. Smith are addressing this gap in the literature by analyzing how both the content and associated pedagogy of educational videos contribute to student achievement. This research will use tri-dimensional mapping between features of educational videos, students' characteristics and attained performance gains in order to understand how technological changes in the educational market can positively impact student outcomes.
Entrepreneurship and the Platform Economy
Economic uncertainty can be a strong deterrent from the development of new business ventures. As the platform economy, or gig economy, has provided an alternative to the standard 40-hour workweek, gig labor could potentially provide workers with the flexibility and income stability necessary to promote entrepreneurial activity.
Professor Matthew Denes, in conjunction with Spyridon Lagaras of the University of Pittsburgh and Margarita Tsoutsoura of Cornell University and the National Bureau of Economic Research, is investigating whether platform-based jobs can incentivize and support entrepreneurship by providing nascent business owners with an additional source of income. In addition to characterizing the size and scope of the platform economy, this research group is evaluating the impact of gig employment on both income volatility and entrepreneurial activity. These insights could inform the development of policy to support entrepreneurship and protect gig workers.