Carnegie Mellon University
April 10, 2023

Research Identifies Percentage of U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines Vulnerable to Electric Outages, Recommends Steps to Avert Potential Hazards

Natural gas supplies 32% of all primary energy in the United States, its share of electricity generation having nearly doubled from 2008 to 2021. The cross-country natural gas pipeline system used to be powered mainly by natural gas, but has switched in places to electric power. The natural gas pipeline system has generally been much more reliable than the electric power system. The dependence on electricity has created a vulnerability during hurricanes, winter storms and other events that can take out electric power, since lack of natural gas may cause fuel shortages at gas-powered electric generators.

Gas-electric interdependencies have contributed to several major electric system emergencies due to gas shortages at times of high electric load, including a Texas 2021 event that led to more than 200 deaths. In new research, scientists investigated the vulnerability of electric power generation to electric outages at U.S. pipeline compressor stations. They found that about 10% of such stations are electric, and thus are vulnerable to electric power outages, and they suggest steps to address the potential for hazards.

The work, by researchers at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU), is published in The Electricity Journal.

“The North American Electric Reliability Corporation has stated that addressing gas-electric interdependency risks is a top priority that requires immediate attention,” notes Sean Smillie, a doctoral candidate in Engineering and Public Policy at CMU, who led the research.

“But due in part to the lack of regulatory oversight of the gas transmission system, the extent of reliance on electric compressors and the potential consequences of failure was not well understood.”

Natural gas pipelines use both gas- and electric-powered compressor units. Electrically powered compressor stations on natural gas transmission pipelines have been identified as a possible contributor to gas shortages. Electrically dependent stations are vulnerable to electric outages during these events, and their loss could cause downstream losses of gas-fired electric generators.

Compressor stations typically have enough backup power on site for auxiliary demands (e.g., control systems, lighting, cooling fans), but electrically driven compressors are usually too large for practical on-site backup. Therefore, an electric outage to a compressor station—an event that is quite possible during hurricanes, winter storms or other similar events—could take all on-site electric compressor units out of service.

In what the authors say is the first rigorous effort to identify the number of U.S. electric compressor stations, they examined data from 2008 to 2020 on nearly 1,500 stations or substations. Of these, they determined that approximately 10% are electric, with several large pipelines vulnerable to electric outages. California, the Midwest, the Gulf Coast, and the East have high levels of installed electric compressor capacity. Hydraulic models they developed, verified by past events, show that disrupting power to a single pipeline compressor station can force a loss greater than 2 gigawatts of downstream gas generators, about double the size of a large nuclear generation unit.

“During times of high gas demand, electric outages that disable compressors at these stations can significantly reduce gas available to downstream generating stations,” explains M. Granger Morgan, Professor of Engineering, of Engineering and Public Policy, and of Electrical and Computer Engineering at CMU, who coauthored the article. “In some cases, the resulting outages could be as large as or larger than the most severe single-cause failure currently considered in electric reliability planning.”

Based on their findings, the authors suggest that electric utilities should immediately incorporate the identified facilities into critical facility lists.

“In contrast to well-established reliability reporting and standards for the electrical system, the gas system has almost no reliability transparency or oversight,” says Jay Apt, Professor Emeritus of Engineering and Public Policy at CMU’s Tepper School of Business, who coauthored the article.

“Establishing a federal gas reliability organization, comparable to what is now done for electric power, could improve gas reliability by establishing appropriate reliability reporting, incident investigation, and minimum industry standards.”

The authors’ findings support a similar recommendation made in a recent consensus study by the National Academies on the future of the U.S. electric power system. Their research was supported in part by the Carnegie Mellon Electricity Industry Center and in part by the Carnegie Mellon Climate and Energy Decision Making Center, formed through a cooperative agreement between the National Science Foundation and CMU.

Summarized from a 2023 article in The Electricity Journal, How Vulnerable Are U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines to Electric Outages? by Smillie, S (Carnegie Mellon University), Morgan, MG (Carnegie Mellon University), and Apt, J (Carnegie Mellon University). Copyright 2023. All rights reserved.